Scenario tool · not a forecast

How many recovered customers would cover your pilot investment?

Choose the assumptions below and watch the live result update instantly. There is no Enter button. Replies, qualified opportunities and purchases remain separate stages.

Your assumptions

Eligible contacts available: 500
Select the approximate number that could pass the initial eligibility check. The standard pilot begins with the first 500.
Typed reply rate: 20%
Planning guide: start at 20%, then test higher scenarios. These buttons are planning assumptions, not promises.
Verified ReviewProsper results
Why these figures are different

Both figures come from the same audited picture-framing campaign. 804 of 1,100 past customers replied by text, a 73.1% reply rate across the whole campaign. Narrowing to the coldest records, those inactive for at least 24 months, 87 of 134 replied, a 64.9% reply rate. One campaign in one industry cannot forecast yours. List type, customer history, message and timing all matter.

One-way promotional SMS is normally measured through delivery, clicks and conversions rather than a directly comparable typed-reply rate. Twilio cites a broad 45% SMS response figure, which is useful context but not a forecast for an aged Australian customer database. View source.

Of the people who reply, how many are genuine opportunities? 15%
If you are unsure, use 15%. A genuine opportunity has a real need, useful timing or an agreed next step. A polite reply does not count.
At the current settings, 15 of 100 repliers become qualified opportunities.
Of those qualified opportunities, how many does your team convert? 20%
If you do not know your close rate, use 20%. This is your team's sales assumption, not a ReviewProsper result.
At the current settings, 3 of 15 qualified opportunities become customers.
Average value of one recovered customer: $5,000
Choose either average revenue or average gross profit for one recovered customer, then use that basis consistently.
Live result · updates instantly
Scenario value$15,000This is arithmetic based on your inputs, not a ReviewProsper promise.
100typed replies
15qualified opportunities
3recovered customers
1 recovered customerto cover the $1,990 pilot
This tool does not predict what your database will do. The pilot exists to replace assumptions with your own measured replies, opportunities and client-confirmed outcomes.
The pilot itself is guaranteed. For accepted pilots, if sales you attest to from the contacts we message do not cover the $1,990 fee within 90 days of the final send, Wade personally refunds the difference.
Ask Wade to check the real fit →